Tomorrow is Election Day. As Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump traveled to multiple battleground states in an attempt to secure swing votes and energize their bases, the final public opinion polls and the final forecasts and prognostications of this election cycle were released. Here’s a look at some of the final numbers before the majority of voters head to the polls:
- Of the major 4-way presidential election polls released on Monday all but one show a Hillary Clinton lead. Polls by CBS News, Fox News, Gravis, ABC/Wash Post and the Economist/YouGov show a 4 point Clinton lead. Polls conducted by Monmouth and by NBC News/SM give Clinton a 6 point lead. The Bloomberg poll gives Clinton a 3 point lead. And Rasmussen Reports shows a 2 point Clinton lead. IBD/TIPP Tracking shows a 2 point lead for Donald Trump.
- In polls of a Hillary Clinton/Donald Trump horse-race CBS News, Fox News, and the Economist/YouGov show a 4 point lead for Hillary Clinton. Bloomberg and ABC News/Wash Post give Clinton a 3 point lead. IBD/TIPP Tracking shows a 1 point lead for Clinton. The Monmouth poll shows a 6 point lead for Clinton. NBC News/SM shows a 7 point advantage for Hillary Clinton. The LA Times/USC Tracking numbers show a 5 point lead for Donald Trump.
- Election forecasts based on reporting and experts all predict a victory for Hillary Clinton.
- Election forecasts based on statistical models all predict a Hillary Clinton victory. The most conservative of these forecasts places Clinton’s odds of winning at approximately 71 percent.
- Every major news organization has forecast a victory for Hillary Clinton.
- Electoral College forecasts place Hillary Clinton’s likely number of votes between 275 and 323.
- This number may skew higher as Clinton has a lead in most battleground states.
- The battle for the Senate has come down to the final day. While it looks likely that Democrats will win back some seats, in totality it is essentially a dead lock.
- This indicates the final Senate tally could result in either a small Republican majority, a small Democratic majority, or a tie wherein the Vice President would be the deciding vote.
- Meanwhile, in the House of Representatives the Democratic Party looks assured to pick up numerous seats.
- But the Republican Party will hold on to their majority.
Be sure to vote.