Early polls suggest a Clinton bump

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Although Public Policy PollingPredictWiseCBS NewsFox NewsPoliticoNBC NewsABC NewsTrump surrogates and Donald Trump himself all evidenced his defeat in the first presidential debate, Donald Trump wants you to believe he believes he won.

The problem with that statement is that Hillary Clinton looks to have gotten a slight bump in the polls post-debate and her probability of winning has increased. Furthermore, the CNN poll which Trump derided traditionally positively correlates with horse-race polls.

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In other words, Trump lost.

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